200902Predicting PoliticsMajumderaSaikat February 2009 |
Predicting Politics200902MajumderaSaikat Predicting Politics
Political prediction markets—in which participants buy and sell “contracts” based on who they think will win an election—accurately predicted Barack Obama’s 2008 victory. New research by Daniel Diermeier (Managerial Economics and Decision Sciences) and colleagues shows that these markets behave similar to financial markets, except when traders’ partisan feelings get in the way. |
MajumderaSaikat200902Predicting Politics Saikat Ray Majumdera
Daniel Diermeier Thomas A Rietz Luís A. Nunes Amaral |
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200809Strategic Activism and Nonmarket StrategyBaron David September 2008 |
Strategic Activism and Nonmarket Strategy200809Baron David Strategic Activism and Nonmarket Strategy
In 1987 Rainforest Action Network (RAN) initiated a nationwide boycott against Burger King. At the core of their demands was the accusation that the contracts with Central American countries for exports of cheap hamburger beef resulted in “rainforests being denuded to provide pasture for cattle” (RAN 2007). The result: a 12 percent drop in Burger King’s sales and the cancellation of $35 million worth of contracts with the tropical countries. This example reflects a trend: activist organizations ceasing to direct their demands to governments and, according to David Baron and Daniel Diermeier, “increasingly turning to private politics to advance their agenda.” |
Baron David200809Strategic Activism and Nonmarket Strategy David P. Baron
Daniel Diermeier |
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