Sergio Rebelo
MUFG Bank Distinguished Professor of International Finance; Professor of Finance
Overnight Success? AI Has Been a Century in the Making.
For clues about the future of AI, it helps to understand the past.
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo
December 3, 2024
Why Do Prices Rise Like Rockets … but Fall Like Feathers?
Behavioral psychology sheds light on a longstanding economic puzzle.
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo, Pedro Teles and Miguel Santana
September 1, 2024
5 Trends in a Volatile Global Economy
“We live in an interesting world, one with much upside as well as significant downside.”
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo
August 8, 2024
Take 5: Work Is Changing. What Does the Future Hold?
Remote work, technology, and climate change are all set to transform the labor market. Here’s how.
Researchers: Dimitris Papanikolaou, Bryan Seegmiller, Hyejin Youn, Sergio Rebelo, Jacopo Ponticelli, Hatim Rahman and and coauthors
July 30, 2024
The Dos and Don’ts of Regulating AI
How can governments capitalize on AI’s benefits while minimizing its dangers? New research examines several policies—and identifies a promising approach.
Researchers: João Guerreiro, Sergio Rebelo and Pedro Teles
February 23, 2024
How Should Global Cities Manage an Influx of Wealthy Foreign Residents?
In an age of remote work, the trend will only continue. So how can governments take advantage of the benefits while mitigating the harms?
Researchers: João Guerreiro, Sergio Rebelo and Pedro Teles
January 1, 2024
6 Takeaways on Inflation and the Economy Right Now
Are we headed into a recession? Kellogg’s Sergio Rebelo breaks down the latest trends.
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo
January 25, 2023
5 Trends to Watch as the Economy Emerges from the Pandemic
From inflation and remote work to climate change, here’s where the global economy appears to be headed.
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo
August 15, 2022
3 Economic Implications of Russia’s War on Ukraine
“We are seeing a world that’s going to be less than the sum of its parts.”
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo
April 6, 2022
5 Things You May Not Know about Tax Policy
How do income taxes impact people’s career choices? And do soda taxes actually work?
Researchers: Charles Nathanson, Anna Tuchman, Filippo Mezzanotti, Therese McGuire and Sergio Rebelo
March 14, 2022
6 Takeaways on Today’s Economy
A finance professor breaks down the data on inflation, the labor market, and the future of cities.
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo
February 10, 2022
Why Do COVID-19 Death Rates Differ Wildly from Place to Place?
Researchers were surprised by the variable that best predicted fatalities.
Researchers: Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt
February 1, 2021
Meet the (Surprisingly Rational) COVID Consumer
Research on initial consumer spending shows that those at higher risk were making safer choices.
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo, Martin Eichenbaum, Mathias Trabandt, Francisco Lima and Miguel Godinho de Matos
November 2, 2020
We’re Several Months into the COVID Economy. What Have We Learned?
From household spending to the strength of the dollar, an economist sees some clear trends—and signs of what’s to come.
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo
August 26, 2020
The Wrong Way to Ramp Up COVID-19 Testing
Robust testing is key to safely reopening the economy. But a new model shows that if testing is not paired with “smart containment,” it could backfire.
Researchers: Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt
May 27, 2020
Companies Need to Prepare Today to Survive the Next 18 Months
An economist explains how leaders can try to lower fixed costs, retain workers, and mind their brands.
Researchers: Sergio Rebelo
April 14, 2020
Containing COVID-19 Will Devastate the Economy. Here’s the Economic Case for Why It’s Still Our Best Option.
The death toll from failing to contain the virus will be far more costly to society.
Researchers: Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt
March 26, 2020
When Do Open Borders Make Economic Sense?
A new study provides a window into the logic behind various immigration policies.
Researchers: João Guerreiro, Sergio Rebelo and Pedro Teles
March 2, 2020
Predicting Exchange Rates Is Hard. Could Dusting Off an Old Technique Help?
Investors take note: the “real exchange rate” may be a more accurate long-term forecaster than economists thought.
Researchers: Martin Eichenbaum, Benjamin Johannsen and Sergio Rebelo
January 2, 2020
Does Lowering the Corporate Tax Rate Spur Economic Growth?
Results of a new study have implications for the recent U.S. tax overhaul.
Researchers: Nir Jaimovich and Sergio Rebelo
March 5, 2018
How a “Robot Tax” Could Reduce Income Inequality
This tax can also be part of a plan to improve the economy as a whole.
Researchers: João Guerreiro, Sergio Rebelo and Pedro Teles
December 1, 2017
What Makes Oil Prices So Volatile?
There’s more to the story than OPEC. Plus, how fracking stands to change the market.
Researchers: Gideon Bornstein, Per Krusell and Sergio Rebelo
July 7, 2017
Christine Lagarde on Income Inequality, Brexit, and the Power of M&Ms
A Q&A with the IMF managing director and Kellogg’s Sergio Rebelo.
Researchers: Christine Lagarde and Sergio Rebelo
October 10, 2016
When Booms Go Bust
The housing market is finally on the upswing. Will it last?
Researchers: A. Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum and Sergio Rebelo
May 5, 2013
Solving a Pricey Riddle
How monetary policy influences the economy
Researchers: Martin Eichenbaum, Nir Jaimovich and Sergio Rebelo
January 2, 2012
Recession-Fighting Serendipity
Well-timed government spending can blunt economic contractions
Researchers: Lawrence Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum and Sergio Rebelo
July 1, 2010
Mysterious Profit
‘Peso events’ drive returns to the carry trade
Researchers: A. Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum, Isaac Kleshchelski and Sergio Rebelo
August 1, 2009
A Dollar Short
Seeking a theoretical framework to understand international currency crises
Researchers: Ariel Burstein, Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo and João C. Neves
April 8, 2007