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Economists have uncovered a better way to predict fluctuations in exchange rates.
Finance & Accounting

Predicting Exchange Rates Is Hard. Could Dusting Off an Old Technique Help?

Investors take note: the “real exchange rate” may be a more accurate long-term forecaster than economists thought.

Economists look back at what alternative monetary policies could have led to a quicker recovery from the financial crisis.
Economics

Two Ways the Economy Could Have Recovered Faster after the Great Recession

Doubling down on these monetary policies could help combat future financial crises.

Economics

What’s Causing Wage Stagnation in America?

Previous explanations pointed to globalization and automation. But research shows that employer concentration is also to blame.

Economics

How Dodd-Frank Made Commercial Mortgage Loans Safer

The financial reform bill increased the cost of certain loans, but lowered the risk of default.

Economics

India’s Economy Is Slowing Down. What Happens Next?

The country’s chief economic advisor discusses how labor, trade, and energy factor into the country’s economic outlook.

Economics

How Raising the Sales Tax Could Help Fight a Recession

New research points to a counterintuitive new tool to spur spending.

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A man decides whether to buy an extended warranty for a TV.
Economics

No, Extended Warranties Are Usually Not Worth It

So why do so many people keep buying them?

Parents' belief in traditional gender roles can affect daughters' math performance.
Economics

Daughters’ Math Scores Suffer When They Grow Up in a Family That’s Biased Towards Sons

Parents, your children are taking their cues about gender roles from you.

High-frequency traders working quickly
Economics

Some High-Frequency Trading Strategies Can Damage the Stock Market’s Health

But a small tweak to how trading orders are processed could help.

Economics

Should Antitrust Laws Really Be Changed, or Should We Just Enforce the Laws We Have?

A presidential assassination brought the trust-busting Teddy Roosevelt to power. The episode offers lessons for today’s antitrust regulators.

Economics

A Nation’s Wealth May Depend on How Much Its Workers Can Learn on the Job

New research suggests that formal schooling is not the panacea to global inequality that many have long believed it to be.

Politics & Elections

One Nation Invades Another. What Will Happen Next?

Game theory reveals why some conflicts escalate and others don’t.

Finance & Accounting

What Causes Stock Market Swings?

Tariffs? Job reports? Oil prices? A new volatility index pinpoints which factors make investors feel uncertain.

Finance & Accounting

A Comprehensive Model for Building Winning Stock Portfolios

Linking fundamental analysis and portfolio optimization may be the key to solving the “investor’s problem.”

Economics

When an Industry Consolidates, What Happens to Wages?

A surprisingly consistent answer has emerged in one sector: healthcare.

Finance & Accounting

Three Quarters of Americans Aren’t Putting Enough into Their 401(k)s

With employers shifting away from pensions, there’s an urgent need for improved financial literacy.

Economics

When an Industry Consolidates, What Happens to Wages?

A surprisingly consistent answer has emerged in one sector: healthcare.

Finance & Accounting

Three Quarters of Americans Aren’t Putting Enough into Their 401(k)s

With employers shifting away from pensions, there’s an urgent need for improved financial literacy.

Innovation

How Much Does Innovation Drive Economic Growth?

A study of millions of patents lifts the veil on how new ideas influence productivity.

Not Everyone Benefited from Lower Interest Rates During the Great Recession

The Fed wanted to help struggling homeowners. But new lending rules undermined its efforts.

Economics

What Google Is Teaching Economists About Unemployment Insurance

Search data can tell policymakers whether extending unemployment benefits delays job-seeking.

Strategy

Why Do Trainees Get Stuck with So Much Grunt Work?

There must be faster ways to get them up to speed. Yet grueling apprenticeships persist in medicine, law, and the trades.

Economics

How Closely Do Our Beliefs About Social Mobility Match Reality?

The answer differs between Americans and Europeans, and between liberals and conservatives.

two coffee growers harvest beans
Economics

How the Coffee Industry Is Building a Sustainable Supply Chain in an Unstable Region

Three experts discuss the challenges and rewards of sourcing coffee from the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Economics

Take 5: What Science Says about Your Summer Vacation

Kellogg faculty explore the psychology and economics of common travel conundrums.

Healthcare

Even for the Insured, a Hospital Stay Has Surprising Costs

The long-term financial toll extends far beyond medical bills.

Economics

How a Genetically Modified Soybean Helped Modernize an Economy

As Brazil’s farms became more efficient, workers shifted to manufacturing.

Policy

How to Make Economic Development More Inclusive

Two finance experts discuss the need to tailor strategies to specific underserved communities.

Economics

How the Potato Ushered in an Era of Peace

Its arrival in Europe had consequences that went far beyond diet.

Social mobility and democracy
Economics

Is Social Mobility Essential to Democracy?

It depends on the size and assumptions of the middle class.

Policy

Does Lowering the Corporate Tax Rate Spur Economic Growth?

Results of a new study have implications for the recent U.S. tax overhaul.

Economics

Localized Natural Disasters Can Hurt an Entire Country’s Economy

A new study helps explain the economic ripple effects on supply chains.

A robot fills out a tax form.
Policy

How a “Robot Tax” Could Reduce Income Inequality

This tax can also be part of a plan to improve the economy as a whole.

Economics

How Do People Respond to Sales Tax Increases?

New research shows we aren’t as blasé as economists thought.

Because oil prices are so volatile, oil price forecasts are both useful and necessary.
Finance & Accounting

What Makes Oil Prices So Volatile?

There’s more to the story than OPEC. Plus, how fracking stands to change the market.

Innovation

STEM Degrees Are Good for Careers. But Do They Lead to More Innovation?

Science, technology, engineering, and math education helps job prospects, but hurts the likelihood of becoming an inventor.